Welvaart Verwagtinge vir 2024

Riaan Botha • March 18, 2024

Agtergrond


Die toekoms is onbekend en daarom bestee internasionale beleggingshuise groot bedrae geld om te voorspel wat in die toekoms op beleggingsmarkte gaan gebeur – sonder veel sukses. Om persoonlike welvaart in ‘n onseker wêreld te skep verg ‘n plan asook persoonlike dissipline. Die volgende persoonlike plan word voorgestel:

Persoonlike Plan


Elke leser leef in unieke persoonlike finansiële omstandighede in ‘n wêreld vol risiko’s. Die volgende plan kan in samewerking met jou Bovest welvaartbestuurder geimplimenteer word om te help om risiko’s te bestuur en gevolglik jou persoonlike welvaart te vermeerder:

  • Stel ‘n persoonlike maandelikse begroting op asook ‘n lys van jou bates en laste.
  • Doen jou belasting beplanning deur gebruik te maak van die toegewings wat die Suid Afrikaanse Inkomste Diens bied om minder belasting te betaal.
  • Diversifiseer jou welvaart deur in verskillende bate-klasse en in verskillende lande te belê.
  • Benut saamgestelde groei om jou belegging oor ‘n aantal jare eksponensieel te laat groei. Dit beteken dat indien jy R 1 miljoen belê en jy kry10% jaarlikse groei, is jou totale belegging R1.1 miljoen. Volgende jaar gaan jy beleggingsgroei op R1.1 miljoen verkry!
  • Doen aftree beplanning en belê ten minste 15% van jou jaarlikse inkomste in pensioen produkte.
  • Stel jou testament op en beplan jou nalatenskap vir jou geliefdes.

Beleggingsomgewing


Algemene verkiesings word hierdie jaar gehou in verskillende demokrasië wat as beleggings bestemmings vir van ons kliënte dien. Dit is veral plaaslik sowel as in die VSA waar politieke emosies moontlik beleggingsprestasies kan beinvloed. Die oorloë in Ukraine en die Midde-Ooste skrik moontlike beleggers in finansiële markte af en daar word eerder beleggings in meer stabiele beleggings intrumente soos goud gemaak. Die feit dat beleggings besluite rasioneel en nooit emosioneel geneem moet word, gaan veral in hierdie lande toepaslik wees.


Rentekoerse en inflasie speel ‘n belangrike rol in enige beleggingsbesluit. Die hoë inflasie in gevestigde ekonomië gedurende 2022 het die betrokke lande genoop om hul rentekoerse te verhoog. Die gevolg was dat die pryse veral in aandele gedaal het. Hierdie reeks verhogings van rentekoerse het die inflasiekoerse van die betrokke ekonomië verlaag en op 1 November 2023 het die Federale Bank in die VSA besluit om nie meer hul rentekoerse verder te verhoog nie. Die gevolg was dat aandele se pryse wêreldwyd verhoog het.


Daar kan verwag word dat wanneer rentekoerse werklik verlaag, die tendens van ‘n styging in die pryse van aandele gedurende 2024 sal voortduur. Hierdie tendens sal afhanklik wees van die voortgesette daling van die inflasiekoerse in die betrokke lande.

Samevatting


Die opmerking wat een van Bovest se ervare kliënte teenoor ‘n buitestaander gemaak het toe sy gevra is of sy finansieel kragtig genoeg is om op ouderdom 55 met pensioen te gaan, was haar antwoord dat sy “kan” omdat sy ‘n aantal jaar ‘n klient van Bovest is. Hierdie persoonlike ervaring bevestig dat te midde van ‘n onbekende toekoms, ‘n goeie welvaartsplan en persoonlike dissipline sukses behaal.




Dr Riaan Botha FSA™ D.Phil


Photo by Teuku Fadhil on Unsplash

Start Investing Today

By Ruvan J Grobler July 24, 2026
Is investing offshore just for people who've given up on South Africa? I get some version of this question a lot, and the honest answer is no. It's really just about not keeping all your eggs in one rand-denominated basket. And it got a lot more relevant this year, because in April 2026 the Reserve Bank doubled the Single Discretionary Allowance from R1 million to R2 million per person, per year. That's a meaningful jump, and it's worth understanding properly before you use it. Here's how the allowance system actually works. Every South African resident over 18 gets a Single Discretionary Allowance of R2 million a year. No SARS approval, no tax clearance, you just instruct your bank and off it goes, for travel, gifts, or offshore investing. On top of that sits the Foreign Investment Allowance, up to another R10 million a year, but that one needs a SARS Approval for International Transfer first, which comes off your tax compliance status on eFiling. Between the two, that's R12 million per person, per year, without needing special Reserve Bank sign-off. A couple, or a family with adult kids, can add that up quickly. Worth knowing too, this is different from the rand-denominated offshore funds most people already hold through their local platforms. Those use asset swap or feeder structures, and your allowance never actually leaves the country. Direct offshore investing means the money physically converts to dollars, pounds or euros and sits in an account in your own name, offshore. Different animal, different mechanics. Side note: if you've got a retirement annuity, you already have some offshore exposure, Regulation 28 lets retirement funds hold up to 45% offshore. That's real diversification, but it's locked inside a retirement structure with its own rules on access and estate treatment. Using your personal allowance is a completely separate lever, money you actually hold in your own name, offshore, that you can access, restructure or leave to whoever you want without waiting for retirement age. Who actually uses this in practice? Families with kids studying or working abroad. People planning to retire partly offshore, or just wanting a foreign currency buffer for when they travel. Business owners who've built most of their wealth locally and want a real counterweight sitting outside the country. It's rarely about chasing better returns, it's about not having every asset you own exposed to the same risks at the same time. So why bother with the direct route? Two reasons come up in almost every conversation I have about this: currency, and geography. On currency, if your salary is in rand, your house is in rand and your whole portfolio is in rand, your entire financial life rises and falls with one currency. Holding some of your wealth in hard currency doesn't mean you think the rand is doomed, it just means you're not betting your whole future on one outcome either way. On geography, the JSE makes up less than 1% of total global stock market value. Some of the biggest growth stories in the world right now, in tech, in healthcare, aren't listed here at all. Investing offshore isn't a vote against South Africa, it's just access to the other 99%. Now here's a case worth knowing about, because it shows how badly this can go if someone tries to get clever with the rules instead of just following them. In Singh v South African Reserve Bank, decided by the Pretoria High Court in 2023, an attorney and businessman moved R80 million between local accounts, with about R20 million of it headed for a UK bank account. The problem wasn't the amount, it was how it moved, in R1 million chunks, each one apparently using someone else's Single Discretionary Allowance instead of his own. His bank picked it up and reported it to the Reserve Bank, who placed a blocking order on the remaining R40 million sitting in his account back home. He went to court arguing his bank had approved the transfers, so it must have been fine. The court didn't agree. A bank can't lawfully approve something that breaches exchange control in the first place, and the blocking order stood. If you genuinely need to move more than R2 million a year, that's exactly what the Foreign Investment Allowance is for. It just takes proper paperwork, not creativity.  A few practical things that catch people out: Your allowance resets every calendar year, it doesn't carry over if you don't use it. A clean SARS record matters. Outstanding returns or disputes will delay your approval, and it can take up to three weeks even when everything's in order. Financial institutions want proof of where the money actually came from, especially as the amount grows. Moving a big amount in one go means you're stuck with whatever the exchange rate happens to be that day, that's a separate risk from the compliance side, and worth thinking through. One more thing, since estate planning is where I spend most of my time. Assets held directly offshore, in your own name, usually fall under the estate administration rules of wherever they're held, not just South Africa's. That can mean your executor needs a foreign grant of probate before anything can be dealt with, on top of the local process. It doesn't mean don't do it. It just means the structure deserves as much thought as the decision to invest offshore in the first place. This is general information, not advice tailored to your situation. Ruvan J Grobler FSA® PGDip (Financial planning)
July 24, 2026
Die immigrantekwessie het die afgelope paar jaar een van die mees omstrede politieke ensosiale onderwerpe in Suid-Afrika geword. Openbare debat word dikwels aangevuur deurkommer oor werkloosheid, misdaad, druk op openbare dienste en die teenwoordigheid van ongedokumenteerde immigrante. In dieselfde asem waarsku navorsers dat ‘n groot deel van die debat deur wanopvattings en emosies beïnvloed word eerder as deur feite. Kom ons kyk na die bekommernisse en die feite. Eerstens is daar opvattings oor die getalimmigrante in Suid-Afrika. Volgens die jongste data het Suid-Afrika tussen ongeveer 2,4 en2,6 miljoen buitelandsgebore inwoners. Dit verteenwoordig sowat vier persent van die totalebevolking van ongeveer 63 miljoen mense. Die grootste groepe kom uit Zimbabawe, Mosambiek, Lesotho en Malawi. Werkloosheid vorm ‘n tweede bekommernis. Suid-Afrika het een van die hoogstewerloosheidskoerse ter wêreld. Baie Suid-Afrikansers ervaar dat immigrantewerksgeleenthede wegneem, veral in die informele sektor, kleinhandel, konstruksie enlandbou. Die oorsake van werkloosheid lê waarskynlik veel dieper en hou verband met swakekonomiese groei, onvoldoende vaardighede, korrupsie en beperkte belegging. ‘n Derde bekommernis is druk op openbare dienste. Hospitale, skole, behuisingsprojekte enmunisipale dienste verkeer reeds, soos dit is, onder groot druk. Waar immigrante hierdiedienste gebruik, ontstaan die persepsie dat skaars hulpbronne verder uitgedun word. Dit is moeilik om die impak werklik te meet. ‘n Vierde bekommernis hou verband met ongedokumenteerde immigrasie. Daar bestaanwydverspreide kritiek dat die staat nie sy grense doeltreffend beheer nie. Selfs mense wat positief teenoor immigrasie staan, erken dikwels dat beter administrasie en grensbeheer nodigis. ‘n Vyfde bekommernis is misdaad en veiligheid. Sommige politieke groepe verbindimmigrasie met misdaad. Statistiese bewyse toon egter nie dat immigrante as groep vir die meeste misdaad verantwoordelik is nie. Tog bly die persepsie sterk, veral in gemeenskappewat reeds deur misdaad geteister word. Die debat word verder bemoeilik deur die verskil tussen wettige immigrante, vlugtelinge, asielsoekers en ongedokumenteerde persone. Hierdie groepe word dikwels in die openbaredebat saamgegooi. Die immigrasievraagstuk gaan dus oor veel meer as net die persentasie immigrante. Dit raakdie ekonomie, staatskapasiteit, grensbeheer, en die publiek se vertroue in die regering. Die onderliggende probleme van werkloosheid, armoede en swak dienslewering bly waarskynlikdie grootste drywers van die huidige spanning. ‘n Volhoubare oplossing sal daaromwaarskynlik beter immigrasiebestuur en sterker ekonomiese groei vereis. Geksryf deur Koos van die Waterberge vir Bovest