The Impact of Interest Rates Cuts on your Investments

Ruvan J Grobler • July 30, 2024

The Impact of Interest Rates Cuts on your Investments


Interest rate cuts have been on our lips since the middle of 2023, but global inflation has been extremely sticky in the current cycle. Now once again it seems that markets are pricing in cuts from September on. These predicted cuts are largely dependant on what inflation does. SA inflation recently cooled down to 5.1% from 5.2% year on year and the overall economy looks to be slowing down.


 Many are sceptical of the influence that monetary policy has on South Africa. We need intervention that support economic growth, regardless of your opinion on monetary policy. An interest rate cut should promote activity in our economy as capital will once again start moving around searching for opportunities due to lower interest rates. Bonds have an inverse relationship with interest rates while cash has a direct relationship.


 Listed companies will benefit from lower payments on their own debts while consumer spending picks up. This is positive for shareholders as balance sheets improve and shares become attractive. Especially at this time where valuations show great upside for SA equities.


 Interest rate cycles often coincide with the economic cycle. Knowing where we are in the economic cycle is essential in identifying opportunities, it gives us a framework on risk and volatility. Just like countless times before, we have made it to the light at the end of the tunnel.


“History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often Rhymes” – Mark Twain


Ruvan J Grobler RFP™


 


*This does not serve as financial advice.

By Ruvan J Grobler February 6, 2025
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By PJ Botha January 17, 2025
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